Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 238.03 | $0.578 | $137.69 | Sep 18, 2024 |
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| sell |
| 330.19 |
| $0.417 |
| $137.69 |
| Sep 18, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 193.46 | $0.520 | $100.53 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 136.73 | $0.490 | $67 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 434.78 | $0.382 | $166.09 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Will there be another debate?Yes | buy | 257.14 | $0.350 | $90 | Sep 15, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | sell | 673.95 | $0.017 | $11.46 | Sep 15, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 13.5K | $0.002 | $27 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Aug 26, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Aug 26, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 673.96 | $0.033 | $22 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Trump post 31-35 times this week?Yes | buy | 725.82 | $0.030 | $22 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Trump post 26-30 times this week?Yes | buy | 478.26 | $0.046 | $22 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Trump post 21-25 times this week?Yes | buy | 350.69 | $0.063 | $22 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Trump post 16-20 times this week?Yes | buy | 197.62 | $0.111 | $22 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.013 | $50 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.006 | $60 | Aug 9, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.98K | $0.012 | $120 | Aug 8, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?No | buy | 2.25K | $0.080 | $180 | Jul 24, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 2.04K | $0.052 | $106.74 | Jul 24, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.073 | $150 | Jul 24, 2024 |
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.032 | $70 | Jul 22, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.049 | $100 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.111 | $220 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 284.67 | $0.997 | $283.82 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Trump and Biden both win nomination?No | sell | 891.91 | $0.995 | $887.45 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 284.67 | $0.490 | $139.49 | Jul 17, 2024 |
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?No | sell | 223.8 | $0.020 | $4.48 | Jul 15, 2024 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 15, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | sell | 2.17K | $0.060 | $130.02 | Jul 15, 2024 |
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?No | buy | 223.8 | $0.334 | $74.75 | Jul 15, 2024 |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | sell | 830.5 | $0.090 | $74.74 | Jul 15, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.028 | $60.9 | Jul 15, 2024 |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.087 | $60.9 | Jul 15, 2024 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Jul 15, 2024 |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.059 | $90 | Jul 15, 2024 |
Trump and Biden both win nomination?No | buy | 320.51 | $0.390 | $125 | Jun 30, 2024 |
Trump and Biden both win nomination?No | buy | 571.41 | $0.320 | $182.85 | Jun 28, 2024 |
Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 550.81 | $0.329 | $181.33 | Jun 28, 2024 |
Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 539.77 | $0.360 | $194.32 | Jun 28, 2024 |
Indian Election: Modi reelected?No | sell | 1.75K | $0.007 | $12.25 | Jun 7, 2024 |
Indian Election: Modi reelected?No | buy | 608.35 | $0.025 | $15 | Jun 7, 2024 |
Indian Election: Will BJP win a majority of seats?No | buy | 350 | $0.150 | $52.5 | May 15, 2024 |
Indian Election: Modi reelected?No | buy | 455 | $0.079 | $35.95 | May 15, 2024 |
Indian Election: Modi reelected?No | buy | 222 | $0.077 | $17.09 | May 15, 2024 |
Indian Election: Modi reelected?No | buy | 307.89 | $0.076 | $23.4 | May 15, 2024 |
Indian Election: Modi reelected?No | buy | 800 | $0.060 | $48 | May 15, 2024 |
Indian Election: Will BJP win a majority of seats?No | buy | 247.57 | $0.140 | $34.66 | May 15, 2024 |