Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 31 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 31.5% on 31 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 12.5% on 2 Aug 2024. $464.71K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 1:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 31 Jul 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2024 | 31.5% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Excellent-Darn | Yes | 6K |
| retar-dio | Yes | 3.79K |
| SPECULATOOOOOOOOR | Yes | 1.33K |
| Hkmila | Yes | 818.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuela's president, Nicolás Maduro, is removed from power for any length of time between July 30, 11:30 AM ET and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Nicolás Maduro will be considered to be removed from power if he is forced to resign, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Venezuela within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/maduro-out-before-september
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| dxxxg | Yes | 408.21 |
| sneeedums | Yes | 200 |
| BirthofTragedy | Yes | 71.43 |
| Icy-Barber | Yes | 66.67 |
| MCosetti | Yes | 37 |
| DONTtipme1000 | Yes | 25 |
