Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 28.5%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 20 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 20 Jun 2024 to 28 Jun 2024, the highest close was 39.5% on 20 Jun 2024 and the lowest 16.5% on 25 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 21.5% on 23 Jun 2024. $72.33K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 5:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 20 Jun 2024 – 28 Jun 2024, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2024 | 39.5% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden closes his eyes for 3 or more seconds continuously at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle, from his first appearance during the official broadcast, to when he exits the debate stage after the completion of the closing remarks. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be video footage of the debate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-closes-his-eyes-for-over-3-seconds-during-the-debate
| goingsocial | Yes | 0.01 |
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