Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%? | No | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.51 |
| $0.856 |
| $3.33 |
| +$0.33 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | No | 1.3 | $0.772 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Trump on $250 bill this year? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.06 | $0.940 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
| buy |
| 1.15 |
| $0.870 |
| $1 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 World Cup Final: Weather Delay?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.957 | $1.97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Graham Platner charged by August 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 French election called by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.918 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.772 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Trump on $250 bill this year?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 26.18 | $0.955 | $25 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| French election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.993 | $3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Jun 7, 2026 |