Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 17 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2024 to 27 Aug 2024, the highest close was 100% on 27 Aug 2024 and the lowest 7% on 20 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 63 points up, to 87.5% on 22 Aug 2024. $6.2M traded over the market's life.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 28, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 17 Jul 2024 – 27 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2024 | 19.5% |
| 27 Aug 2024 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hillary2win | No | 435.95K |
| Czimm | No | 129.28K |
| PeterNh | No | 109.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 65.19K |
| Violet Signal 3414 | No | 51.3K |
| Matthijs | No | 39.84K |
| RFKALLDAY | No | 26.21K |
| cmck359 | No | 18.96K |
| politicschange | No | 12.52K |
| lootershooter | No | 11.2K |
