Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 75.99 | $0.987 | $75.8 | +$0.8 |
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
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| No |
| 12.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $11.83 |
| -$0.17 |
| buy |
| 8.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $8 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.993 | $6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?Mamdani | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 15.62 | $0.890 | $13.9 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?No | buy | 11.95 | $0.979 | $11.7 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 75.99 | $0.987 | $75 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.100 | $130 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.923 | $7 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.937 | $6 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?Yes | buy | 8.54 | $0.820 | $7 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | May 30, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on May 30?No | buy | 8.18 | $0.978 | $8 | May 30, 2025 |
Mahmoud Khalil released from custody before May?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Siversk before May?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Sue Bird make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.984 | $6 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Lula out before April?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Will Sue Bird make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes | buy | 15.08 | $0.995 | $15 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 15.21 | $0.986 | $15 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 20-27?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Dec 24, 2024 |
Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.986 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | Dec 24, 2024 |
Will NDC win the most seats in the Ghanaian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will Trump get less than 66m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will NDC win the most seats in the Ghanaian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.988 | $6 | Dec 11, 2024 |
CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)Gray | buy | 6.04 | $0.993 | $6 | Dec 1, 2024 |
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 1, 2024 |
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Dec 1, 2024 |
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Alaska | buy | 4.02 | $0.996 | $4 | Dec 1, 2024 |
Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 1, 2024 |