Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?

Resolved

Yes, settled Dec 3, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$230.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 3, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 3 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 57 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 3 Dec 2025, the highest close was 100% on 3 Dec 2025 and the lowest 12.5% on 11 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 15.5% on 9 Oct 2025. $230.21K traded over the market's life.

54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 4, 12:31 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 3 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Oct 2025	49.5%
3 Dec 2025	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	25.21K
cynical-reason	No	7.08K
thxpikachu	No	2.95K

10 of 54 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The next New York City mayoral election is scheduled for November 4, 2025. This market will resolve based on the total number of votes out of the total number of registered voters in New York City for the 2025 mayoral election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. This market will resolve based on the certified results released by the New York City board of Elections New York City Board of Elections (https://vote.nyc/).