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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes | sell | 263.59 | $0.260 | $68.53 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 67 |
| $0.510 |
| $34.17 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.840 | $5.04 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 261.14 | $0.750 | $195.86 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?No | sell | 2.62K | $0.999 | $2.62K | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 42.26K | $0.060 | $2.54K | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 24.36K | $0.011 | $267.95 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.7K | $0.110 | $1.29K | Feb 11, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 20K | $0.975 | $19.5K | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 30K | $0.975 | $29.25K | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 50K | $0.975 | $48.75K | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 522 | $0.069 | $36.02 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.040 | $26.23 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.006 | $10.51 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 105.55 | $0.070 | $7.39 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.064 | $18.56 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?No | buy | 3K | $0.970 | $2.91K | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Yes | buy | 790.6 | $0.810 | $640.39 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.840 | $1.68K | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 3.32K | $0.380 | $1.26K | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.61K | $0.180 | $289.94 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 492.96 | $0.011 | $5.42 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.18K | $0.790 | $24.63K | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No | buy | 61.31K | $0.998 | $61.18K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.220 | $560.91 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 2.61K | $0.995 | $2.6K | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 5.3K | $0.120 | $636.19 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 35.62K | $0.126 | $4.47K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 4.67K | $0.140 | $653.26 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.996 | $1.09K | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 26.55K | $0.999 | $26.52K | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 3.65K | $0.001 | $3.65 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 26.55K | $0.996 | $26.44K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.410 | $3.69K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 5.19K | $0.370 | $1.92K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 3.19K | $0.400 | $1.28K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 485.97 | $0.410 | $199.25 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.65K | $0.495 | $4.28K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.62K | $0.494 | $6.73K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 538.63 | $0.860 | $463.22 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | buy | 934.31 | $0.041 | $37.89 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 290 | $0.977 | $283.33 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.29K | $0.090 | $1.38K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 8.79K | $0.740 | $6.51K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30K | $0.070 | $2.1K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 3.96K | $0.460 | $1.82K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 1.97K | $0.138 | $271.92 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 8.52K | $0.450 | $3.83K | Jan 29, 2026 |