Will the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?

Resolved

Yes, settled Sep 29, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$9.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 29, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 29 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.4%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 13 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2025 to 29 Sep 2025, the highest close was 96.4% on 29 Sep 2025 and the lowest 65.5% on 13 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 71.5% on 5 Sep 2025. $9.44K traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 8:42 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 13 Aug 2025 – 29 Sep 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Aug 2025	65.5%
29 Sep 2025	96.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
paypalmafia	No	4K
Guilty-Decency	No	291.53
cowcat	No	212

10 of 16 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A Swiss referendum over the Federal Act on Electronic Identification Services (e-ID Act) has been scheduled for September 28, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20250928/e-id-act.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.