Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 5.28 | $0.947 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 5.19 |
| $0.964 |
| $5.1 |
| +$0.1 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.028 | $0.73 | -$0.27 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $0.53 | -$1.48 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.180 | $0.35 | -$1.65 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.053 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 5.28 |
| $0.947 |
| $5 |
| Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.964 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.956 | $28.68 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.083 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 111.67 | $0.018 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 54.21 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | buy | 25.19 | $0.794 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 3.17 | $0.973 | $3.08 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.830 | $9.01 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.049 | $2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.730 | $6.08 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.810 | $1.88 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.890 | $3.42 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.065 | $5 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.954 | $3.18 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | sell | 4.41 | $0.975 | $4.3 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.963 | $6.17 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 4.65 | $0.740 | $3.44 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?No | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 French election called by October 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| French election called by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |