Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 107 daily closes on record from 17 Apr 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 68% on 24 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 68% on 24 May 2025. $1.46M traded over the market's life.
274 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 17 Apr 2025 – 1 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 883d | Yes | 37.29K |
| horiz0n | Yes | 30.08K |
| planetnine | Yes | 24.4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the release date of GPT-5.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-gpt-5-be-released
| Yes |
| 15.54K |
| Halloween66 | Yes | 13.48K |
| Uvuzugz | Yes | 8.13K |
| MolvX | Yes | 7.38K |
| Heavy-Rhetoric | Yes | 7.37K |
| smnnekho | Yes | 6.59K |
| WoopyUrass | Yes | 5.32K |
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