Will NDC win the most seats in the Ghanaian parliamentary election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Dec 11, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$32.6K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 11, 2024 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 11 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 69.5% on 19 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2024 to 11 Dec 2024, the highest close was 99.7% on 10 Dec 2024 and the lowest 69.5% on 19 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 81% on 20 Nov 2024. $32.56K traded over the market's life.

26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 7:35 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 19 Nov 2024 – 11 Dec 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Nov 2024	69.5%
11 Dec 2024	99.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	19.39K
Comebackkid	No	976.33
ZebitKaifa	Yes	10.01

10 of 26 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

General elections will be held in Ghana on December 7, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Democratic Congress (NDC) wins the most seats in the Ghanaian Parliament a result of the next Ghanaian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by NDC, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Ghanian Government, specifically the Electoral Commission of Ghana (https://ec.gov.gh/).