Analytics
Resolved Gray on 4 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Gray at 98.1%. The Gray side opened at 43% on 16 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 99.2% on 30 Nov 2024 and the low 20% on 7 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 67 points up, to 96% on 28 Nov 2024. $580.7K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 5, 8:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Gray price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 16 Aug 2024 – 4 Dec 2024
| Observed | Gray price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2024 | 43.0% |
| 4 Dec 2024 | 98.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| serfentino | Duarte | 2.6K |
| SuperJaz | Gray | 1.05K |
| betohax | Duarte | 699 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. This market will resolve to "Gray" if Democrat Adam Gray wins the congressional election in California's 13th district. This market will resolve to "Duarte" if Republican John Duarte wins the congressional election in California's 13th district. If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ca-13-election-gray-d-vs-duarte-r
| Duarte |
| 345.68 |
| RememberAmalek | Duarte | 250 |
| Elvisionario | Gray | 161.29 |
| GAWDAWG | Duarte | 96.33 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Duarte | 44.97 |
| bruwyn | Duarte | 38.83 |
| Gelato069 | Duarte | 37.43 |
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