Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 31% on 16 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 16 Jun 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 1 Jul 2025 and the lowest 22% on 25 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 79.5% on 22 Jun 2025. $28.62M traded over the market's life.
611 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 16 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2025 | 31.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mrbuffet | No | 1.83M |
| sdflef | No | 296.97K |
| MustBeRight | No | 185.73K |
| BlackSaffron | No | 158.17K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike. Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify. Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice. The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fordow-nuclear-facility-destroyed-before-july
| Tiger2 | No | 114.78K |
| NoN | No | 100K |
| yunghabibi | No | 72.61K |
| Danco9997 | No | 71.05K |
| aposhep | No | 70.89K |
| SSCCAAMM | No | 65.39K |
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