Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 87.5% on 12 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2024 to 10 Dec 2024, the highest close was 100% on 8 Dec 2024 and the lowest 77.5% on 30 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 99% on 7 Nov 2024. $1.95M traded over the market's life.
177 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 10, 10:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 12 Oct 2024 – 10 Dec 2024, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2024 | 87.5% |
| 10 Dec 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the popular vote in New York by 10.0% or more when compared with the second-place candidate in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in New York for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once New York has certified the vote. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-lose-new-york-by-less-then-10-points
| No |
| 9.25K |
| Magatard513 | No | 8.9K |
| MELLON | No | 6.32K |
| Patriot1995 | No | 4K |
| Cakeday | No | 3.4K |
| betting2win | No | 3.4K |
| BM-FRG | No | 3.21K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
