Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 13 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2024 to 23 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.4% on 23 Jan 2025 and the lowest 24.5% on 13 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 85% on 1 Dec 2024. $995.01K traded over the market's life.
175 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 10:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 13 Nov 2024 – 23 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2024 | 24.5% |
| 23 Jan 2025 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 49.49K |
| Randomguy64 | No | 2K |
| doasssa | No | 1.1K |
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micheal Martin is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minster-of-ireland
| No |
| 168.18 |
| Q8i | No | 83.33 |
| Phanes | Yes | 23.63 |
| nealwilliam | Yes | 22.6 |
| prokopesage | No | 20.83 |
| simmsxj98 | Yes | 20.07 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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