Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 13 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 110 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 14% on 17 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Mar 2025. $6.21M traded over the market's life.
719 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 8:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 110 points, 13 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2024 | 10.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| reews | Yes | 67.18K |
| cccv | Yes | 49.24K |
| knowthyself | Yes | 41.67K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 12, 2024, 16:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $200,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 40.38K |
| HKYY | Yes | 37.45K |
| Megatron747 | Yes | 27.59K |
| Hedgehog42 | Yes | 18.48K |
| The.Real.Satoshi | Yes | 13.2K |
| enochsmiles | Yes | 10K |
| hackmilhonario007 | Yes | 9.65K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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