Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 25.32 | $0.790 | $18.73 | -$1.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Yes | buy | 11.12 | $0.580 | $6.45 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 28.94 |
| $0.518 |
| $1.88 |
| -$13.12 |
| buy |
| 66.99 |
| $0.149 |
| $10 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal–National Coalition win less than 45 seats?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be from Europe?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $95000 and $97000 on May 9?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before March?Yes | buy | 42.51 | $0.140 | $5.95 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Trump negative approval before April?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.690 | $7.84 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.340 | $4 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?No | buy | 136.03 | $0.037 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.87 | $0.143 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?Yes | buy | 11.86 | $0.421 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will GPT-4.5 be released by March 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before March?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Trump negative approval before April?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |