Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 20% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 367 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 75% on 16 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 72.5% on 14 Jan 2025. $2.28M traded over the market's life.
504 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 367 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 20.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ConciergeofPredictions | Yes | 98.08K |
| WCBT | Yes | 51.63K |
| satoshiAncap | Yes | 33.57K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has ceased all ground operations within and has withdrawn all ground forces from Gaza between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn into or behind intended buffer zones, even if that zone is established on internationally recognized Palestinian territory. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-withdraws-from-gaza-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| Yoss1989 | Yes | 8.45K |
| chosen17 | Yes | 7.64K |
| Dietram | Yes | 3.43K |
| marktangent | Yes | 3.07K |
| rfnoone | Yes | 2.65K |
| lissartter | Yes | 2.43K |
| liors12 | Yes | 1.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
