Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 29 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 59.5% on 29 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 45% on 6 Feb 2025. $3.67M traded over the market's life.
505 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 339 points · 29 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2025 | 59.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| satoshiAncap | Yes | 286.16K |
| faival | Yes | 62.23K |
| marktangent | Yes | 26.9K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations between Janaury 26, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Beneficial-Scraper | Yes | 8.18K |
| Goldstein | Yes | 7.29K |
| Golo | Yes | 7K |
| Cosmic Horizon 9F97 | Yes | 6.4K |
| slarti | Yes | 5.45K |
| cynical-reason | Yes | 4.59K |
| tnalas1 | Yes | 4.04K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
