Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No | buy | 2.66K | $0.019 | $50 | May 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.6K |
| $0.984 |
| $1.57K |
| May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 289.49 | $0.100 | $28.95 | May 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13K | $0.038 | $80 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62K | $0.011 | $60 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.009 | $19.99 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.076 | $80 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.75K | $0.109 | $300 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 180.34 | $0.111 | $20 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.110 | $40 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?No | buy | 8K | $0.005 | $40 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Yes | sell | 631.57 | $0.200 | $126.31 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Yes | buy | 631.58 | $0.190 | $120 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.017 | $20 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.017 | $20 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 2.96K | $0.037 | $108.63 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.96K | $0.027 | $80 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?Iran | sell | 95.91 | $0.460 | $44.12 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | sell | 129.99 | $0.689 | $89.53 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 29?Yes | sell | 6.38 | $0.650 | $4.15 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Qatar today?No | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 249.24 | $0.059 | $14.71 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 27?No | buy | 24.79 | $0.121 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 26?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 29?Yes | buy | 50.63 | $0.790 | $40 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 29?Yes | buy | 50.63 | $0.790 | $40 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 29?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.021 | $17.8 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.300 | $40 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.300 | $40 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Saturday?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Saturday?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 396 | $0.545 | $215.82 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Yes | buy | 135.32 | $0.739 | $100 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Saturday?Yes | buy | 386.54 | $0.052 | $20 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 94.12 | $0.425 | $40 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 301.89 | $0.424 | $128 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.024 | $20 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.041 | $41 | May 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | May 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | May 14, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.220 | $40 | May 10, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.270 | $60 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 2.86K | $0.007 | $20 | Apr 13, 2025 |