
Resolved Yes on 2 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 82.5% on 21 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 2 Jun 2026, the highest close was 100% on 31 May 2026 and the lowest 57.5% on 23 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 96.1% on 24 May 2026. $31.92M traded over the market's life.
589 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 1:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 21 May 2026 – 2 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 82.5% |
| 2 Jun 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yesworld28 | No | 1.09M |
| Kind-Deposition | No | 574.78K |
| GODGIVEMEMONEY | No | 509K |
| tetrose | No | 404.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. Confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline. A qualifying "kinetic military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. Kinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through
| Gloomy-Material | No | 300K |
| indigogrey | No | 292.35K |
| Danklordkush | No | 252.65K |
| PolitPhiloProph | No | 189.04K |
| Intrepid-Advocacy | No | 175.51K |
| AlwaysRegressing | No | 151.2K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page