Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 16 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 136 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 72.5% on 18 Feb 2025 and the lowest 2.3% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 24% on 13 Jun 2025. $670.89K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 136 points, 16 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2025 | 68.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rosy-Happening | Yes | 390.54 |
| mmarkk1994 | Yes | 183.62 |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 75.26 |
Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) recently announced it would launch Truth.Fi, a financial services platform with plans to buy cryptocurrencies and other, more traditional assets. You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/ee0edda4-fca6-4c1e-bc66-d21ec7302690 This market will resolve to "Yes" if TMTG buys any amount of Bitcoin, either directly or through a subsidiary, between February 13, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-media-invest-in-bitcoin-before-july
| U5U56U | Yes | 60 |
| RHT | Yes | 50 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 42 |
| Ambula | Yes | 23.81 |
| KattyCO | Yes | 19.48 |
| Indigo Tide 2808 | Yes | 14.86 |
| EBradz | Yes | 14.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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