Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 8 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 84 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 66% on 28 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 6.5% on 16 Mar 2025. $56.63K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 8:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 8 Jan 2025 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2025 | 62.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olizz | Yes | 7.21K |
| Crimson Orbit 3A54 | Yes | 900 |
| Emerald Voyager 7220 | Yes | 900 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On January 7, Mark Zuckerberg announced plans to replace its fact-checking program with a community-driven "community notes" system similar to that used by X (see: https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/social-media/meta-ends-fact-checking-program-community-notes-x-rcna186468). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Facebook implements a "community notes" system for a majority of U.S. users by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be Facebook, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-facebook-implement-community-notes-before-april
| Yes |
| 900 |
| Cobalt Atlas 7C18 | Yes | 900 |
| Keen Signal 9E22 | Yes | 900 |
| Violet Ledger 174F | Yes | 900 |
| WhitneyHouston | Yes | 100 |
| a1b2c3 | Yes | 88.18 |
| Anthonio | Yes | 18.46 |
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