Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 15% on 6 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 331 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 20.5% on 12 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 20.5% on 12 Feb 2025. $670.06K traded over the market's life.
226 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 331 points, 6 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2025 | 15.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SemyonMarmeladov | Yes | 16.75K |
| CaptainBuddy | Yes | 8.61K |
| Theelad | Yes | 6.27K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government assumes administrative, military, or political control over the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. This includes direct governance, military occupation with administrative authority, or any formal arrangement where the U.S. exercises primary governing authority over Gaza territory. Mere military presence including the establishment of bases, advisory roles, humanitarian missions, or support for other governing entities without the U.S. holding primary control will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-take-over-gaza-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| Bitman0101 | Yes | 3.13K |
| ✨Trump✨ | Yes | 1.17K |
| joemainstreet | Yes | 1.15K |
| mia8418 | Yes | 1.01K |
| Anguished-Gran | Yes | 1K |
| Dohrni | Yes | 972.32 |
| ihaveluck | Yes | 910 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
