Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 23 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 63.5% on 17 Feb 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 46.5% on 12 Feb 2025. $17.13M traded over the market's life.
679 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 160 points · 23 Jan 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2025 | 49.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-july
| Yes |
| 76.64K |
| qwerqwer | Yes | 48.91K |
| Megatron747 | Yes | 48.77K |
| mage | Yes | 39.35K |
| MrNGMI | Yes | 39.03K |
| theyreTellingYouTheTruth | Yes | 26.37K |
| Ufhcycocylcktc | Yes | 25.09K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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