Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.350 | $5 | -$5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | 21h ago |
 |
| sell |
| 47.39 |
| $0.510 |
| $24.17 |
| May 1, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | buy | 47.39 | $0.211 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.240 | $10.43 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 121.95 | $0.216 | $26.34 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 194.71 | $0.051 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.24 | $0.149 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.350 | $5.6 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 32.06 | $0.312 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 22.07 | $0.453 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 SBF released from custody in 2025?Yes | sell | 256.41 | $0.065 | $16.67 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?Yes | buy | 287.84 | $0.035 | $10 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| SBF released from custody in 2025?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.039 | $10 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.052 | $10 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Obama federally charged in 2025?Yes | buy | 214.84 | $0.047 | $10 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?No | sell | 37.03 | $0.420 | $15.55 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.450 | $16.07 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams drop out?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.082 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Yes | buy | 103.09 | $0.097 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.62 | $0.442 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Aug 25, 2025 |