Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 6.8% on 24 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 163 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 7.7% on 10 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. $388.5K traded over the market's life.
103 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 163 points, 24 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2025 | 6.8% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| theo634673 | Yes | 18.59K |
| Good-Curse | Yes | 14.73K |
| techemist25 | Yes | 9.57K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/obama-federally-charged-in-2025
| Yes |
| 5.87K |
| Tenthirtyone | Yes | 1.54K |
| mesteme | Yes | 1K |
| dmkn | Yes | 876.51 |
| razzial | Yes | 826.79 |
| Pooperface | Yes | 754.27 |
| PaveR | Yes | 685.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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