
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 10% on 31 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 156 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 16.5% on 16 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 16% on 27 Aug 2025. $1.95M traded over the market's life.
545 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 31 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2025 | 10.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Neat-Brushfire | Yes | 75.1K |
| TwoEyes | Yes | 48.91K |
| JamesBeard99 | Yes | 20.86K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between July 30, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-pregnant-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| RoyCooperForVP | Yes | 5K |
| taoches | Yes | 4.61K |
| khalissman | Yes | 4.13K |
| Shameless-Board | Yes | 3.2K |
| Facekini888 | Yes | 2.62K |
| drakvaar | Yes | 2.5K |
| Xrp2damoon | Yes | 2.44K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.