Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 27 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 13.5% on 31 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.7 points down, to 3.8% on 11 Sep 2025. $7.6M traded over the market's life.
221 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 8:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 Aug 2025 – 1 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2025 | 11.5% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| satoshiAncap | Yes | 1.29M |
| Igetgasforfree | Yes | 302.53K |
| nickes | Yes | 74.97K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Cook announces her resignation or otherwise ceases to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between August 25, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official announcements of Cook's resignation or removal made before her term is scheduled to end, made by either Cook or the Board of Governors, will qualify. Announcements from Trump or his administration will not alone qualify. Temporary absences or attempts at termination which do not actually remove Cook from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lisa-cook-out-as-fed-governor-by-september-30
| Yes |
| 50.37K |
| AGcopytr | Yes | 32.27K |
| Deficit | Yes | 17.15K |
| Blind Chicken | Yes | 14K |
| Kickstand8 | Yes | 10K |
| 2498an0n | Yes | 7.69K |
| PepeMcPew | Yes | 7.12K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
