Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 3 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 122 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 47% on 17 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 25 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 47% on 17 Sep 2025. $43.7K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 122 points, 3 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2025 | 37.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| johnou | Yes | 786.64 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| SeymourCash | Yes | 336.87 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Israel between September 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Israeli citizens or entities which do not directly target the Israeli state or members of the Israeli government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Israel within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Israel by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Israel (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Israel unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eu-sanctions-on-israel-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 199.97 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 162 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 148 |
| akiyaa | Yes | 147.11 |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 143.09 |
| Swissbet | Yes | 100 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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