Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 230 | $0.570 | $106.95 | -$24.15 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 1d ago |
|
| sell |
| 45.45 |
| $0.820 |
| $37.27 |
| 8d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.660 | $30 | 19d ago |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 888.45 | $0.018 | $16.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 144.31 | $0.792 | $114.31 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 888.46 | $0.056 | $50.02 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 144.31 | $0.693 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | buy | 180.27 | $0.555 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?No | sell | 24.02 | $0.750 | $18.02 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?Yes | sell | 67.72 | $0.470 | $31.8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?Yes | buy | 67.73 | $0.547 | $37.06 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 273.68 | $0.796 | $217.94 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?No | buy | 40.39 | $0.495 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?No | buy | 349.12 | $0.573 | $200 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes | buy | 7.48 | $0.390 | $2.92 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.220 | $1.13 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 141.2 | $0.708 | $100 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 135.41 | $0.739 | $100 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | buy | 155.14 | $0.645 | $100 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 218.07 | $0.751 | $163.81 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 82.68 | $0.971 | $80.28 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.560 | $40 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 55.29 | $0.723 | $40 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 521.42 | $0.384 | $200 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?No | sell | 195.5 | $0.910 | $177.91 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?No | buy | 195.51 | $0.511 | $100 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 265.22 | $0.377 | $100 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.620 | $10.33 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 191.78 | $0.730 | $140 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?No | buy | 140.89 | $0.072 | $10.21 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?No | buy | 676.34 | $0.148 | $100 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?No | buy | 97.56 | $0.410 | $40 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?No | sell | 68.88 | $0.602 | $41.48 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?No | buy | 36 | $0.330 | $11.88 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 418.06 | $0.740 | $309.36 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | sell | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?No | buy | 33.89 | $0.620 | $21.01 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.640 | $25.6 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Armenia agrees to establish Zangezur Corridor in 2025?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.350 | $49 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | buy | 80 | $0.680 | $54.4 | Jul 24, 2025 |