Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 142 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 94% on 9 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.7% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 59 points up, to 89.5% on 7 Nov 2025. $209.54K traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 10:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 142 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 30.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| clawypol | Yes | 683.74 |
| MiWaanItAal | Yes | 500 |
| qiaolu | Yes | 341.37 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already apart of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-march-31
| Nutty-Shopping | Yes | 326.36 |
| FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 274.36 |
| 5atka | Yes | 200 |
| Billionzz | Yes | 137.2 |
| Minecraft | Yes | 133 |
| Snoopycon | Yes | 108.14 |
| Ivory Lynx 1856 | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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