Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 38% on 29 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 29 Sep 2025 to 13 Oct 2025, the highest close was 99.2% on 13 Oct 2025 and the lowest 24.5% on 3 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 97.5% on 9 Oct 2025. $649.03K traded over the market's life.
145 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 8:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 29 Sep 2025 – 13 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2025 | 38.0% |
| 13 Oct 2025 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 11.02K |
| yvanovic | No | 7.66K |
| GayPride | No | 6K |
| WhiteLivesMatter | No | 5.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases another living Israeli hostage held in Gaza by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hamas-release-any-more-hostages-by-october-31-318
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| PuggyTrades | No | 2.58K |
| commandatore | No | 2.45K |
| Fussy-Countryside | No | 1.36K |
| zunair532x4 | No | 1.19K |
| Chicko | No | 1.13K |
| Clever-Waterfall | No | 949.97 |
