Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 80%. Yes opened at 52% on 24 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 83% on 7 Nov 2025 and the low 52% on 24 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 62% on 25 Oct 2025. $93.81K traded over the market's life.
65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 12, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 18 points · 24 Oct 2025 – 10 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | 52.0% |
| 10 Nov 2025 | 80.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lawful-Vehicle | No | 3.1K |
| Beauclair2109 | No | 2.83K |
| ethbet | No | 1.13K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Sarkozy is released from custody by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sarkozy is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Sarkozy is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Sarkozy to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nicolas-sarkozy-released-from-custody-by-december-31
| LXtrade | No | 800.9 |
| Duf1988 | No | 428.46 |
| papalaquinte | No | 400.1 |
| Polial | No | 353.56 |
| banobtc | No | 289.54 |
| freuda | No | 285.63 |
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