Analytics
Resolved Gold on 26 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Gold at 0%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 9 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 111 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2025 to 26 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 26 Jan 2026 and the lowest 21% on 10 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 54% on 17 Oct 2025. $1.68M traded over the market's life.
680 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 9 Oct 2025 – 26 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2025 | 22.5% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Normal-Footrest | ETH | 27.34K |
| Odom1 | ETH | 20.48K |
| udhhd | ETH | 20K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Gold" if, between October 8, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) reaches or exceeds $5,000.00 per troy ounce during regular trading hours before Ethereum (ETH) reaches or exceeds that same price according to the final "Close" price of all Binance 1 minute candles for ETH/USDT. This market will resolve to "ETH" if, within that same timeframe, Ethereum (ETH) reaches or exceeds $5,000.00 according to the final "Close" price of all Binance 1 minute candles for ETH/USDT before the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) reaches or exceeds that same price per troy ounce during regular trading hours. If neither Gold nor Ethereum reach $5,000.00 within this market's timeframe, or if they reach that price at the exact same moment, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for Gold prices will be COMEX trading data for the Gold Continuous Contract (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX). The resolution source Ethereum prices is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Note: This market's resolution is based specifically on the listed resolution sources, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-to-5k-gold-or-eth
| ETH |
| 16.65K |
| Far-Caboose | ETH | 15.27K |
| Bxrn | ETH | 10K |
| Bks765 | ETH | 5.56K |
| dmsiwn | ETH | 5.07K |
| 4915 | ETH | 4.97K |
| Snow-White | ETH | 4.51K |
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