Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 23% on 13 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 80 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 60% on 27 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 51% on 26 Sep 2025. $294.87K traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 13 Sep 2025 – 1 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | 23.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| randomWalkingShrimp | Yes | 1.06K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 765 |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 357.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel is officially banned from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of a qualifying ban within the specified timeframe will suffice, regardless of when it takes effect or whether it is later revoked. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-banned-from-eurovision-2026-by-november-30
| Yes |
| 300 |
| Swissbet | Yes | 287.84 |
| sadrax666 | Yes | 267.44 |
| Cloudy-Gokart | Yes | 251.47 |
| wylzub | Yes | 220.32 |
| Honored-Planet | Yes | 192.16 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 184.5 |
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