Latest trade
Sep 22, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:46 PM UTC.
HugoDiaz is down $137.03 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-09-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 22, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:46 PM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 49 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Apr 27, 2025 UTC to Sep 22, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-09-22 20:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 16:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 16:46 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-09-22 20:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $130.39 and losing ones cost $201 across the latest 50 settled positions. 36% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $30 on “Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $25 on “Was JFK assassination an inside job?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Sep 2025. It has traded 190 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.04 |
| $0.965 |
| $1 |
| Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
Will Eric Adams drop out?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the next pop be elected in 2 days?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the next pop be elected in 7 or more days?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the next pop be elected in 6 days?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the next pop be elected in 5 days?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.941 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the next pop be elected in 4 days?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Will the next pop be elected in 3 days?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
India military action against Pakistan before June?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Trump uses a recess appointment before July?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.956 | $9.75 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.330 | $8.25 | May 6, 2025 UTC |
Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | May 5, 2025 UTC |
German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | May 5, 2025 UTC |
North Korea missile test before June?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | May 5, 2025 UTC |
Diddy guilty of all charges?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | May 5, 2025 UTC |
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | May 5, 2025 UTC |
Will Hillary Clinton announce she's running for president in 2025?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | May 5, 2025 UTC |
Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.948 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Celsius founder sentenced to 20+ years?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Shedeur Sanders cut before Week 1?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
2025 May hottest on record?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Will John Mulaney actually fight children?No | buy | 5.97 | $0.335 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Supreme Court unblocks Alien Enemies Act?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Israel military action against Iran before June?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Israel military action on Yemen before June?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
Liberal party signs coalition agreement before August?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 UTC |
India military strike on Pakistan today?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Apr 30, 2025 UTC |
Australia election results in a hung parliament?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Apr 30, 2025 UTC |
India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Apr 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Apr 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump spend 7+ days golfing in May?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Apr 30, 2025 UTC |
US recession in 2025?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Apr 27, 2025 UTC |
Israel military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Apr 27, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.