Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 76.5% on 30 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 92.5% on 1 May 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 64 points down, to 25% on 3 May 2025. $70.17K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 30 Apr 2025 – 1 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2025 | 76.5% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Canadian House of Commons passes a confidence vote in favor of a Liberal government by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A "confidence vote" includes any formal vote of confidence, any vote the government designates as a matter of confidence (such as a vote on the Speech from the Throne or a budget bill), or any explicit motion of non-confidence introduced by the opposition that the government survives. Passage requires a majority of votes cast in favor of the government. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official parliamentary records or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-carney-government-pass-a-confidence-vote-before-june
| No |
| 0.01 |
| acceptabledinosaur | No | 0.01 |
| thepolwinner | Yes | 0.01 |
| UxorSatanas | Yes | 0.01 |
| GTFKY | No | 0.01 |
| NiGriMa671 | No | 0 |
| TYriplecheese | Yes | 0 |
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