Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 431.06 | $0.610 | $403.04 | +$140.09 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 21.79 | $0.987 | $21.51 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.999 |
| $9.99 |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 431.06 | $0.610 | $262.95 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 39 | $0.960 | $37.44 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?No | buy | 14 | $0.998 | $13.97 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 23 | $0.997 | $22.93 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 33 | $0.956 | $31.55 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.955 | $19.1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 36 | $0.976 | $35.14 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?No | sell | 13.59 | $0.932 | $12.67 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?No | sell | 12.61 | $0.970 | $12.23 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Another Canada election called in 2025?No | sell | 13.69 | $0.948 | $12.98 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 AfD banned in 2025?No | sell | 16.83 | $0.956 | $16.09 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?No | sell | 32.57 | $0.962 | $31.33 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | sell | 4.14 | $0.962 | $3.98 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.925 | $3.55 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?No | sell | 44.01 | $0.876 | $38.55 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?No | sell | 44 | $0.905 | $39.82 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.951 | $4.76 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 23.08 | $0.945 | $21.81 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade Finland in 2025?No | sell | 22 | $0.959 | $21.1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 24.13 | $0.806 | $19.45 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?No | sell | 41.99 | $0.311 | $13.06 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Rainbow airdrop in Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 43.99 | $0.004 | $0.18 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?No | sell | 13.8 | $0.953 | $13.15 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo sign with a new club during the transfer window?No | sell | 40.14 | $0.857 | $34.4 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 43.99 | $0.976 | $42.93 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?No | sell | 44.98 | $0.273 | $12.28 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31?No | sell | 13.06 | $0.923 | $12.05 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 6.38 | $0.797 | $5.08 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before August?No | sell | 35.83 | $0.956 | $34.25 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?No | sell | 44.13 | $0.852 | $37.6 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes | sell | 30.27 | $0.580 | $17.56 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?No | sell | 9 | $0.909 | $8.18 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Trump tariffs Apple before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.69 | $0.591 | $2.18 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.03 | $0.606 | $5.47 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Hayden Davis in jail in 2025?No | sell | 16.23 | $0.857 | $13.91 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Braves win the NL East Division?No | sell | 22 | $0.961 | $21.14 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before August?No | sell | 44 | $0.955 | $42.02 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 10.01 | $0.949 | $9.5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 33.89 | $0.981 | $33.25 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 22 | $0.978 | $21.52 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.19 | $0.713 | $5.13 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Syria before July?No | sell | 44 | $0.979 | $43.08 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.648 | $27.86 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 12 | $0.941 | $11.29 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 44.99 | $0.966 | $43.46 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Amazon buy TikTok?No | sell | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 10 | $0.943 | $9.43 | Jun 24, 2025 |