Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.930 | $465 | May 7, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 468.21 |
| $0.995 |
| $465.87 |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 171.87 | $0.981 | $168.6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 40 | $0.997 | $39.88 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 745 | $0.027 | $20.42 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.047 | $1.03 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.047 | $1.08 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.045 | $1.08 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.046 | $0.87 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.045 | $0.45 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.045 | $1.31 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.041 | $1.23 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.041 | $1.31 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.041 | $1.39 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?No | buy | 18 | $0.890 | $16.02 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?No | buy | 46 | $0.890 | $40.94 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?No | buy | 29 | $0.890 | $25.81 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 17 | $0.948 | $16.12 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 87 | $0.961 | $83.61 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?No | buy | 20 | $0.988 | $19.76 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?No | sell | 16 | $0.770 | $12.32 | May 11, 2025 |
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?No | sell | 21 | $0.600 | $12.6 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No | sell | 25.01 | $0.800 | $20.01 | May 11, 2025 |
Will the Seattle Mariners win the AL West Division?No | sell | 42 | $0.540 | $22.68 | May 11, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Yes | sell | 44.01 | $0.530 | $23.33 | May 11, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the NL East Division?No | sell | 44.01 | $0.700 | $30.81 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?No | sell | 8.74 | $0.370 | $3.23 | May 11, 2025 |
US announces withdrawal from WTO in 2025?Yes | sell | 20.47 | $0.220 | $4.5 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?No | sell | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 21 | $0.840 | $17.64 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?No | sell | 41.99 | $0.460 | $19.32 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.550 | $5.79 | May 11, 2025 |
Will ‘Re:ZERO -Starting Life in Another World- Season 3’ win Crunchyroll's Best Isekai Award for 2025?No | sell | 16 | $0.170 | $2.72 | May 11, 2025 |
Will ‘Re:ZERO -Starting Life in Another World- Season 3’ win Crunchyroll's Best Isekai Award for 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?No | sell | 39.26 | $0.350 | $13.74 | May 11, 2025 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?No | sell | 37.83 | $0.250 | $9.46 | May 11, 2025 |
Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?No | sell | 20.99 | $0.790 | $16.58 | May 10, 2025 |
US stagflation in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.47 | $0.240 | $5.15 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by May 31?No | sell | 20.99 | $0.760 | $15.95 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by May 31?Yes | sell | 41.99 | $0.230 | $9.66 | May 10, 2025 |
Fetterman out in 2025?No | sell | 21 | $0.690 | $14.49 | May 10, 2025 |
Will between 16 and 19 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?No | sell | 38 | $0.700 | $26.6 | May 10, 2025 |
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.360 | $1.87 | May 10, 2025 |
Diddy convicted of a felony?Yes | sell | 20.99 | $0.880 | $18.47 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.11 | $0.510 | $4.14 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Trump create External Revenue Service before July?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.300 | $13.5 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No | sell | 21.99 | $0.570 | $12.53 | May 10, 2025 |
2025 May hottest on record?No | sell | 21 | $0.810 | $17.01 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Trump remove municipal bond tax exemption in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.240 | $3.6 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Frieren win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?No | sell | 44.68 | $0.640 | $28.6 | May 10, 2025 |