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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 98.2 | $0.130 | $12.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 4.3K |
| $0.031 |
| $133.42 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.2K | $0.024 | $148.8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 12.54 | $0.410 | $5.14 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.023 | $116.84 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 2.21K | $0.160 | $354.18 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 1.97K | $0.182 | $359 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 358.74 | $0.161 | $57.76 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.110 | $110 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.100 | $106.27 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.140 | $560 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.22K | $0.033 | $337.35 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?Yes | buy | 44.24 | $0.002 | $0.09 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.148 | $590.55 | May 31, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 955.92 | $0.036 | $34.41 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.105 | $165.9 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.029 | $35.4 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.039 | $48.75 | May 31, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.018 | $30 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 444.88 | $0.010 | $4.45 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 724.29 | $0.232 | $167.89 | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | sell | 650 | $0.450 | $292.59 | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | sell | 95.35 | $0.731 | $69.69 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | buy | 95.35 | $0.508 | $48.41 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.071 | $82.14 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.019 | $56.74 | May 29, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.650 | $130 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.46K | $0.051 | $124.85 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?Yes | buy | 204.69 | $0.005 | $1.02 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?Yes | buy | 563.33 | $0.003 | $1.69 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.015 | $15.57 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.023 | $17.5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?No | sell | 274.8 | $0.290 | $79.69 | May 28, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 126.99 | $0.630 | $80.05 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 100.92 | $0.020 | $2.02 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 126.99 | $0.650 | $82.54 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?No | buy | 568.61 | $0.176 | $100 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 406.96 | $0.013 | $5.29 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.66 | $0.750 | $0.5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?Yes | buy | 16.66 | $0.580 | $9.66 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.512 | $36.84 | May 28, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 349.27 | $0.286 | $100 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.39K | $0.074 | $102.82 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.116 | $131.98 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.35K | $0.015 | $95.29 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.015 | $150 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.7K | $0.086 | $146.12 | May 27, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 353.44 | $0.566 | $200 | May 26, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.288 | $100.8 | May 26, 2026 |