Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.8%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 30 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 47% on 6 May 2025 and the lowest 8.5% on 31 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 47% on 27 May 2025. $23.26K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 30 Apr 2025 – 1 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2025 | 19.5% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 21.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Canadian government or its administration officially announces that Canada will lower, pause, delay, or remove any existing tariffs on the United States by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the United States will qualify. For example, the removal of a general tariff on all imports into Canada, or a tariff on specific U.S. states or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution. Item-specific tariff exemptions will qualify. Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-canada-lower-tariffs-on-the-us-before-june
| Vilara | No | 1.59 |
| Noysa | No | 1.49 |
| Kn0w1d | No | 0.09 |
| calark | Yes | 0.07 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 0.02 |
| Tenebrus7 | No | 0.02 |
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