Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 6 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 242 daily closes on record from 6 May 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 8.3% on 1 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Dec 2025. $20.52K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 9:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 242 points, 6 May 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 May 2025 | 5.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Charles666 | Yes | 360.73 |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 307.57 |
| poutine | Yes | 283.47 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hillary Clinton announces that she is running for President in the 2028 U.S. presidential election between May 5, 2025, 11:00 AM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Clinton must definitively state her intent to run (e.g., "I am running for President" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hillary Clinton (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hillary-clinton-announce-shes-running-for-president-in-2025
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 254 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 226 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 201.3 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 166 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 162 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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