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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.33K | $0.820 | $1.29K | +$196 |
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.820 | $1.09K | Mar 1, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 488.5 |
| $0.162 |
| $8.55 |
| -$70.4 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 353.45 | $0.283 | $1.77 | -$98.23 |
| buy |
| 353.45 |
| $0.283 |
| $100 |
| Feb 13, 2026 |
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?Yes | buy | 488.5 | $0.162 | $78.95 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 799.37 | $0.250 | $200 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.310 | $100 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 631.58 | $0.190 | $120 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.017 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.012 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Yes | buy | 502.5 | $0.040 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.222 | $246.7 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 683.68 | $0.280 | $191.43 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 466.95 | $0.043 | $20 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.195 | $500 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?No | buy | 273.97 | $0.730 | $200 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Another US debt downgrade in 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?Yes | buy | 38.28 | $0.261 | $10 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Hillary Clinton announce she's running for president in 2025?Yes | buy | 283.47 | $0.035 | $10 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?No | buy | 673.62 | $0.148 | $100 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.018 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 534.92 | $0.187 | $100 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 586.76 | $0.341 | $200 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.180 | $200 | Apr 5, 2025 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | buy | 2.46K | $0.813 | $2K | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No | buy | 74.63 | $0.670 | $50 | Mar 13, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Mar 13, 2025 |
Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?No | buy | 3.9K | $0.005 | $20 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?No | buy | 229.55 | $0.871 | $200 | Feb 20, 2025 |
Sam Altman arrested before July?No | buy | 212.03 | $0.943 | $200 | Feb 20, 2025 |
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | buy | 480.51 | $0.416 | $200 | Feb 20, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 305.19 | $0.164 | $50 | Feb 20, 2025 |
Was Trump hacked?Yes | buy | 3.95K | $0.019 | $75 | Jan 18, 2025 |
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.764 | $788.87 | Nov 25, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 329.67 | $0.910 | $300 | Nov 25, 2024 |
Vivek replaces Vance as U.S. senator for Ohio?Yes | buy | 303.84 | $0.033 | $10 | Nov 25, 2024 |
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?Yes | buy | 2.56K | $0.351 | $900 | Nov 25, 2024 |