Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54.5%. Yes opened at 16.1% on 2 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 2 May 2025 to 29 May 2025, the highest close was 69% on 3 May 2025 and the lowest 16.1% on 2 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 53 points up, to 69% on 3 May 2025. $137.15K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 30, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 2 May 2025 – 29 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2025 | 16.1% |
| 29 May 2025 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Blur | No | 1.5K |
| iuhadsbjhoqn | No | 101.18 |
| ArbiTrader.Zim | No | 100.01 |
| DANIMAL | No | 95.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Mulaney fights one or more individuals below the age of 18 by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Choreographed stunts, competitive games (e.g., dodgeball, trivia, or card games), slapstick humor, stunts or comedic sketches will not qualify. Performances which are possibly staged but include elements of real physical fighting such as punching or wrestling will qualify, as long as they are not obviously slapstick/stunts. The primary resolution source will be video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-john-mulaney-actually-fight-children
New to prediction markets?
| sunnygo135 | No | 69.24 |
| JanSmit | No | 51.22 |
| Kikemayo | No | 35.31 |
| alexco99 | No | 12.38 |
| bias | No | 10.51 |
| jwas | No | 8.93 |
