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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on May 31?Yes | buy | 369 | $0.100 | $36.75 | May 12, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 93.77 |
| $0.830 |
| $77.83 |
| May 12, 2025 |
Will Trump impose film tariff by Friday?Yes | sell | 85.49 | $0.004 | $0.34 | May 10, 2025 |
Pakistan military strike on India in May?Yes | buy | 298.34 | $0.850 | $253.59 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.191 | $0 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.050 | $1.3 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 246 | $0.049 | $11.96 | May 6, 2025 |
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.013 | $0.06 | May 5, 2025 |
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 195 | $0.978 | $190.71 | May 5, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.964 | $19.26 | May 5, 2025 |
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | May 2, 2025 |
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | May 1, 2025 |
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.003 | $0.3 | May 1, 2025 |
Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?Yes | buy | 116.48 | $0.630 | $73.38 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.830 | $33.2 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?No | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Capitol foreign flag ban be signed into law?Yes | sell | 203.68 | $0.030 | $6.14 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?Yes | buy | 564.34 | $0.839 | $473.38 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Judge Boasberg holds Trump administration in contempt of court before May?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.910 | $19.11 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?No | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?No | buy | 80 | $0.420 | $33.6 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in 2025?Yes | buy | 252 | $0.500 | $126 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.460 | $103.96 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will Elon say "Billion" 10+ times during Baier interview on Thursday?No | buy | 10 | $0.979 | $9.79 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Will the General Services Administration be most efficient on March 31?No | sell | 47.69 | $0.141 | $6.72 | Mar 23, 2025 |
Will Meta reincorporate in Texas before July?Yes | sell | 97.66 | $0.070 | $6.84 | Mar 21, 2025 |
Trump meets with Carney in March?Yes | sell | 16.31 | $0.090 | $1.47 | Mar 19, 2025 |
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | buy | 743.8 | $0.090 | $66.94 | Mar 15, 2025 |
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 16.57 | $0.140 | $2.32 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Trump tariff on EU alcohol before May?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?No | buy | 38.77 | $0.770 | $29.85 | Mar 13, 2025 |
Will Capitol foreign flag ban be signed into law?Yes | sell | 24.47 | $0.070 | $1.71 | Mar 11, 2025 |
Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Mar 9, 2025 |
Will RFK end HPV vaccine recommendation in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Mar 9, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Mar 6, 2025 |
New Epstein names released by Friday?Yes | sell | 4.21 | $0.060 | $0.25 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.150 | $19.8 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | sell | 26.94 | $0.330 | $8.89 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.210 | $8.82 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 476 | $0.065 | $30.94 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will RFK end Influenza vaccine recommendation in 2025?Yes | buy | 0.96 | $0.140 | $0.13 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 19.44 | $0.340 | $6.61 | Mar 3, 2025 |
OX.FUN insolvent before April?Yes | sell | 505.4 | $0.060 | $30.32 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will Myles Garrett be traded before May?Yes | sell | 0.72 | $0.200 | $0.14 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Kanye launch a token on Ethereum?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.002 | $0.3 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Mary Kate Cornett OnlyFans by Friday?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.013 | $1.33 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will RFK end Measles Mumps and Rubella vaccine recommendation in 2025?Yes | buy | 0.99 | $0.150 | $0.15 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will "The Brutalist" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Feb 28, 2025 |
The 'Bill' Epstein ParlayYes | sell | 475 | $0.411 | $195.05 | Feb 27, 2025 |