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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 216.47 | $0.029 | $6.25 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.062 |
| $6.25 |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 192.21 | $0.240 | $46.13 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 405.96 | $0.099 | $39.99 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes | buy | 81.82 | $0.220 | $18 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 336.68 | $0.059 | $20 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 39.68 | $0.884 | $35.08 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 108.05 | $0.996 | $107.62 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 39.68 | $0.252 | $10 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?No | sell | 19.03 | $0.641 | $12.2 | May 29, 2025 |
 AOC charged before July?Yes | buy | 190.63 | $0.016 | $3 | May 27, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | May 27, 2025 |
 Claude 4 released in May?No | buy | 24.17 | $0.414 | $10 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 102.58 | $0.058 | $6 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?No | sell | 17.55 | $0.656 | $11.51 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?No | sell | 27 | $0.281 | $7.59 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?No | buy | 44.56 | $0.090 | $4 | May 21, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?No | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | May 21, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips before August?Yes | buy | 4.9 | $0.670 | $3.28 | May 20, 2025 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips before August?Yes | buy | 10.45 | $0.670 | $7 | May 20, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.383 | $7.28 | May 20, 2025 |
 U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 20, 2025 |
 All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | May 20, 2025 |
 Biden seen in public by Friday?Yes | buy | 8.51 | $0.470 | $4 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu before June?Yes | buy | 33.17 | $0.060 | $1.99 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.300 | $4 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will John Mulaney actually fight children?No | buy | 12.38 | $0.546 | $6.76 | May 19, 2025 |
 Another Elon baby before July?Yes | buy | 105.61 | $0.057 | $6 | May 19, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.340 | $8 | May 18, 2025 |
| Trump announce run for 3rd term?Yes | buy | 200.33 | $0.030 | $6 | May 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?No | buy | 29.03 | $0.620 | $18 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu before June?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Taylor Swift" this week?Yes | buy | 17.78 | $0.450 | $8 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Genocide" this week?No | buy | 20.82 | $0.480 | $10 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Gold card" or "Trump card" this week?Yes | buy | 16.53 | $0.484 | $8 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82–83°F on May 17?Yes | buy | 24.83 | $0.564 | $14 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 8.85 | $0.226 | $2 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?No | buy | 147.2 | $0.095 | $14 | May 7, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.500 | $17 | May 7, 2025 |
| Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.199 | $4 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?Yes | buy | 139.8 | $0.129 | $18 | May 2, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?Yes | buy | 344.32 | $0.044 | $15 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.999 | $33.3 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 2?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.330 | $11 | May 1, 2025 |