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Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 46% on 24 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 67% on 9 Mar 2025 and the low 0.6% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 58.5% on 6 Mar 2025. $243.35K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 159 points, 24 Jan 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2025 | 46.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| semi | Yes | 5.61K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 458 |
| alexco99 | Yes | 139.8 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that includes a reduction in Medicaid funding or eligibility is passed by both the US House of Representatives and Senate and signed into law by the President by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A reduction in Medicaid refers to a decrease in federal funding or a significant reduction in benefits, as widely reported by a consensus of credible reporting. Temporary or minor administrative changes will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-cut-medicaid-before-july
| Yes |
| 38.71 |
| decapi | Yes | 30 |
| HugoDiaz | Yes | 20.83 |
| Solar Raven 4831 | No | 14 |
| Sebastian12345 | Yes | 10 |
| tixon | Yes | 8.2 |
| TheRomanSEmpire | Yes | 7.19 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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