Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.027 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 25.64 |
| $0.039 |
| $0.5 |
| -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $1 |
| Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.720 | $4 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?Yes | buy | 86.41 | $0.012 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.199 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | sell | 10.46 | $0.970 | $10.15 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?No | buy | 4.47 | $0.224 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.993 | $4.31 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?No | sell | 10.38 | $0.954 | $9.9 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 115.33 | $0.017 | $2 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 34.66 | $0.058 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.159 | $3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 23.83 | $0.294 | $7 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 10.47 | $0.860 | $9 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?No | buy | 10.76 | $0.929 | $10 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.770 | $8 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.260 | $4 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 8.88 | $0.810 | $7.19 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?Yes | buy | 10.65 | $0.939 | $10 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.620 | $6 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 9.67 | $0.930 | $8.99 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.102 | $1 | Mar 19, 2025 |